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Trump’s Tariffs Face Supreme Court Test as Traders Hedge Their Bets

Keely Compson
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Trump’s Tariffs Face Supreme Court Test as Traders Hedge Their Bets

Key Takeaways:

  • Market Mood Shifts: Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show falling odds that the Supreme Court will uphold President Trump’s tariff plan, with confidence down about 20 points since oral arguments.
  • Legal Battle at the Top: The justices are weighing whether Trump had authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs without Congress, a case with major implications for executive power.
  • Economic Stakes Remain High: Trump argues tariffs are vital for national security and economic independence, saying revenue could help reduce the $38 trillion national debt and fund $2,000 dividends for Americans.

Prediction markets are cooling on the odds that President Donald Trump’s tariff plan will survive at the Supreme Court, but supporters say the markets have been wrong before.

Traders on Kalshi now give just a 25 percent chance that the Court will side with Trump, down 20 points since oral arguments suggested some skepticism from the justices. The site has seen more than $1 million wagered on the outcome. Polymarket, another real money prediction platform, mirrors that sentiment, with odds at 23 percent and trading volume exceeding $1.1 million.

Both Kalshi and Polymarket turn public opinion into tradable market data, allowing users to bet on everything from politics to sports. But unlike typical political chatter, these platforms often serve as real-time barometers of confidence in policy decisions — and they’re flashing caution on Trump’s trade strategy.

At issue is whether Trump had the authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs and whether those actions breached the separation of powers. A lower court ruled in August that he exceeded his authority, setting up the high-stakes showdown now before the Supreme Court.

Trump has argued that his tariff policy is essential to national security and economic independence, even proposing to use tariff revenue to fund $2,000 dividend checks for Americans while reducing the $38 trillion national debt.

As the justices deliberate, the markets may be skeptical — but Trump’s supporters insist his America First trade vision remains as strong as ever.

Bessent Predicts “Blockbuster” 2026 as Trump Economy Powers Up

Keely Compson
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0
Bessent Predicts “Blockbuster” 2026 as Trump Economy Powers Up

Key Takeaways:

  • Economic Momentum Building: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicts 2026 will be a “blockbuster year,” pointing to billions in new U.S. investments and thousands of manufacturing jobs created under President Trump.
  • Tax Relief and Bigger Refunds: Bessent credited Trump’s “Big Beautiful” tax bill for boosting take-home pay through new deductions for tipped workers, overtime, and Social Security income.
  • $2,000 Rebate in Discussion: Bessent confirmed the administration is considering Trump’s proposed $2,000 rebate for families earning under $100,000, potentially funded by tariff revenue.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is painting a confident picture for the year ahead, calling 2026 a “blockbuster” for the American economy as President Trump’s policies continue to deliver results for workers and businesses alike.

“I say that you are going to feel it,” Bessent told Fox News, highlighting the wave of new investment flooding into U.S. manufacturing and infrastructure. He pointed to a new Boeing plant in Charleston, South Carolina, set to bring 1,000 jobs, and a nearby rare earth facility that’s already employing hundreds of construction workers and preparing to hire thousands more.

“Thanks to President Trump, a new factory has moved in,” Bessent said. “As we bring these trillions of dollars of investment into the U.S., they’re all starting to break ground now.”

He credited Trump’s “Big Beautiful” tax bill for fueling the surge, saying it encourages companies to build in America while offering tax relief for tipped workers, overtime pay, and Social Security income. Those measures, Bessent added, will create “big refunds” and more take-home pay for working families.

Bessent also confirmed that the administration is considering a $2,000 rebate for households making under $100,000 a year, tying the idea to revenue generated from Trump’s tariffs. Trump recently called tariff critics “fools” and said the dividend would reward hardworking Americans while keeping the economy strong.

With record job growth, new factories, and tax relief on the horizon, Bessent summed up the Trump economic vision simply: “I think 2026 is going to be a blockbuster year.”

Trump Announces “Historic” $35B Uzbekistan Deal

Keely Compson
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0
Trump Announces “Historic” $35B Uzbekistan Deal

Key Takeaways:

  • Trade Expansion: President Trump announced a $35 billion trade and investment deal with Uzbekistan, focusing on key sectors like energy, aviation, technology, and critical minerals.
  • Strategic Partnerships: The deal follows Trump’s meeting with Central Asian leaders aimed at reducing U.S. dependence on China and Russia for critical resources.
  • Economic Momentum: The agreement includes major commercial wins such as Boeing’s $8 billion aircraft sale, reinforcing Trump’s commitment to strengthening American industry and global competitiveness.

President Donald Trump announced what he called a “historic” $35 billion investment deal between the United States and Uzbekistan, marking a major step toward expanding trade ties and securing critical resources for America’s industrial future.

“I am thrilled to announce an incredible Trade and Economic Deal between the United States and Uzbekistan,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “Over the next three years, Uzbekistan will be purchasing and investing almost $35 billion dollars and, in the next 10 years, over $100 billion dollars, in key American sectors including critical minerals, aviation, automotive parts, infrastructure, agriculture, energy and chemicals, information technology, and others.”

The announcement follows a White House meeting with Central Asian leaders, where Trump underscored the importance of diversifying supply chains away from China and Russia. Critical minerals like uranium, copper, and rare earth elements topped the agenda, alongside major commercial deals such as Boeing’s multi-billion-dollar agreement to sell up to 22 Dreamliner aircraft to Uzbekistan Airways.

Uzbekistan’s president, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, called the gathering “the beginning of a new era” in U.S.–Central Asia relations, emphasizing long-term cooperation in energy, aviation, and technology. Trump praised Mirziyoyev as a strong partner committed to expanding economic opportunity.

While official documentation of the $35 billion figure has yet to be released, the move signals Trump’s continued focus on trade diplomacy that prioritizes American industry and self-reliance. As the administration builds alliances beyond traditional markets, the message is clear: America’s comeback means business.

Fetterman Breaks Ranks, Blasts Chaos in Democratic Leadership

Keely Compson
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0
Fetterman Breaks Ranks, Blasts Chaos in Democratic Leadership

Senator John Fetterman admitted what most Democrats won’t say out loud: there’s no clear leadership in the party. Appearing on Fox News’s Fox & Friends, the Pennsylvania Democrat told Lawrence Jones, “No one really knows” who is running the show in either chamber of Congress.

Check it out:

His blunt remark came as Democrats remain divided over how to handle the government shutdown, which dragged on for more than a month before the Senate finally voted 60 to 40 to fund parts of the government through next September. Fetterman was one of eight Democrats who voted for the bill, which excludes language extending the Affordable Care Act’s enhanced subsidies — a key demand from the party’s progressive wing.

“I think my values are reflected in my vote and the things that I support here,” Fetterman said. “And if that might put me at odds with parts of my party, I’m okay with that.”

Fetterman’s candor reflects a growing rift inside the Democratic ranks, as moderates try to distance themselves from the left’s never-ending wish list of spending and regulation. While President Trump continues to call on Congress to end the shutdown responsibly, Democrats can’t seem to agree on what “responsibly” even means.

Later on The View, Fetterman took another swipe at his own party for “celebrating” Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, calling her “crazypants.” His comments highlight what many voters already sense: the Democratic Party is rudderless, fractured, and stuck in a leadership vacuum — while the Trump administration keeps leading from the front.

POTUS Honors America’s Heroes: “I Will Always Have Their Backs”

Keely Compson
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POTUS Honors America’s Heroes: “I Will Always Have Their Backs”

Key Takeaways:

  • A Renewed Promise: President Trump pledged that under his leadership, the federal government will no longer “betray” America’s veterans, emphasizing accountability, respect, and real reform.
  • Action for Heroes: The president highlighted achievements such as cutting VA backlogs, opening new clinics, creating the National Center for Warrior Independence, and making the 2017 Trump Tax Cut permanent.
  • Patriotism in Action: Trump’s proclamation reaffirmed his belief that the nation’s greatness stems from the courage and sacrifice of its veterans — and that his administration will always fight for them.

President Donald J. Trump marked Veterans Day with a powerful proclamation that underscored his unwavering commitment to America’s heroes. From the White House, the president called this day a reminder that “the story of America is written with the courage, honor, and dedicated service of our veterans.”

Trump praised the “unyielding spirit” of the men and women who secured freedom for nearly 250 years, saying, “We show our gratitude and recommit to honor their service, uphold their legacy, and give every veteran the loyalty, respect, and support they have earned and so dearly deserve.”

The president didn’t shy away from holding Washington accountable, blasting decades of political neglect that left veterans behind. “Yet for too many decades, politicians have failed to provide the benefits earned by the best among us,” he wrote. “Under my leadership, the Federal Government will no longer betray these heroes.”

Trump highlighted landmark reforms from his administration, including expanding healthcare choice, cutting bureaucratic waste, and building 16 new veterans’ clinics. He also noted the creation of the National Center for Warrior Independence to house up to 6,000 homeless veterans by 2028, and the signing of the One Big Beautiful Bill, which makes the 2017 Trump Tax Cut permanent and ends taxes on Social Security for most seniors.

Closing his message, the president reaffirmed his dedication to those who have worn the uniform: “Under my leadership, our Nation will always uphold the legacy of our veterans by keeping America strong, proud, and free — and as President, I will always have their backs.”

Trump Proposes 50 Year Mortgage to Revive ‘American Dream’

Keely Compson
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0
Trump Proposes 50 Year Mortgage to Revive ‘American Dream’

President Donald Trump is shaking up the housing market again with an idea that has real estate insiders talking. The president has proposed a 50 year mortgage plan designed to make home ownership more attainable for young Americans struggling under record housing costs.

“Thanks to President Trump, we are indeed working on The 50 Year Mortgage, a complete game changer,” said Bill Pulte, the U.S. Director of Federal Housing, on X. Pulte added that the initiative is part of a broader effort to “ensure the American Dream for young people.”

The concept is simple. Stretch out mortgage terms to reduce monthly payments and make it easier to buy a first home. For example, a $300,000 home at a 5 percent interest rate with a 5 percent down payment would cost $1,530 a month with a 30 year mortgage, but just $1,294 under a 50 year plan.

Critics, however, are not convinced. Some Republicans, including Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene and Representative Thomas Massie, argue the plan could leave Americans “in debt for life,” paying more in total interest over time. Greene called it a “reward for banks,” while Massie compared it to the globalist mantra of “own nothing and like it.”

Still, free market leaders say the proposal reflects Trump’s pro growth mindset, empowering buyers instead of bureaucrats. Opendoor CEO Kaz Nejatian called it “the most pro homeowner government policy of the last two decades.”

As housing costs rise, Trump’s proposal once again puts the focus on restoring affordability, expanding opportunity, and keeping the American Dream within reach.

First Lady Melania Trump Crowned “Patriot of the Year”

Keely Compson
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0
First Lady Melania Trump Crowned “Patriot of the Year”

Key Takeaways:

  • Champion of Innovation: First Lady Melania Trump was named “Patriot of the Year” by Fox Nation, honoring her leadership and advocacy for American creativity, ambition, and progress.
  • A Call to Dreamers: In her speech, Mrs. Trump encouraged Americans to “celebrate everyone who dares to think differently,” calling innovation “a form of patriotism” that strengthens the nation.
  • Results with Vision: From expanding her Fostering the Future initiative to producing her feature film Melania, the First Lady continues to show that American excellence is built on courage, imagination, and hard work.

First Lady Melania Trump was named “Patriot of the Year” by Fox Nation, honoring her as a symbol of American creativity, courage, and conviction. The award recognizes “heroes and patriots who have shown unwavering dedication to the values that make our country great.”

In a powerful and poetic speech, Mrs. Trump urged Americans to embrace ambition, originality, and innovation — qualities she said define true patriotism. “Let’s celebrate everyone who dares to think differently, for it is these courageous Americans who are the heartbeat of our civilization,” she told the crowd.

Drawing from her own experience as a creator and First Lady, she reminded the audience that “most innovators know — it’s lonely when you are close to the edge of imagination — when you have a deep belief in your own power to create new realities.”

Since returning to the White House, FLOTUS has balanced grace with grit, leading initiatives like the TAKE IT DOWN Act, expanding her Fostering the Future program, launching the Presidential AI Challenge, and even producing her own feature film, Melania. Her film, she said, captures “twenty intense days of transformation — from private citizen to First Lady.”

Melania closed her remarks with a challenge to the nation: “Make a personal pledge to celebrate ambition and scale imagination to create a more advanced and prosperous society.”

In an era of political noise, she continues to embody the timeless American belief that individual creativity and hard work build the greater good.

Trump Proposes $10K Bonus for Hard-Working Air Traffic Controllers

Keely Compson
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0
Trump Proposes $10K Bonus for Hard-Working Air Traffic Controllers

Key Takeaways:

  • Accountability First: President Trump ordered that air traffic controllers who failed to report during the shutdown would have their pay docked, while rewarding those who showed up.
  • Rewarding Patriots: Trump announced plans to recommend $10,000 bonuses for controllers who continued working through the “Democrat Shutdown Hoax,” calling them “great patriots.”
  • Performance Over Politics: The president’s move underscored his belief in merit and responsibility, sending a message that dedication—not excuses—will always be recognized in his administration.

President Donald Trump had a message for America’s air traffic controllers: show up, or lose pay. As the Senate worked to end the 41-day government shutdown, Trump blasted absent controllers while pledging big rewards for those who stayed on the job.

“All Air Traffic Controllers must get back to work, NOW!!!” Trump wrote on social media. “Anyone who doesn’t will be substantially ‘docked.’”

While most controllers continued working without pay during the shutdown, some missed shifts or sought other jobs as the impasse dragged on. That caused major headaches for travelers, with airlines forced to cancel about 4 percent of flights and more than 10,000 delays reported over the weekend.

“For those Air Traffic Controllers who were GREAT PATRIOTS, and didn’t take ANY TIME OFF for the ‘Democrat Shutdown Hoax,’ I will be recommending a BONUS of $10,000 per person for distinguished service to our Country,” Trump said. “For those that did nothing but complain, and took time off, even though everyone knew they would be paid, IN FULL, shortly into the future, I am NOT HAPPY WITH YOU.”

The Senate’s temporary funding deal would provide back pay for all federal workers once passed, but Trump made it clear that exceptional effort deserves exceptional recognition.

It’s classic Trump: rewarding merit, discouraging entitlement, and putting performance over politics. In a Washington town too often filled with excuses, the president is making sure hard work still means something—especially when America’s skies depend on it.

Democrats Blink After 40-Day Shutdown, Agree to Bipartisan Deal

Keely Compson
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0
Democrats Blink After 40-Day Shutdown, Agree to Bipartisan Deal

Key Takeaways:

  • Shutdown Breakthrough: After 40 days of stalemate, Senate Democrats announced they have the votes to reopen the government through a short term funding resolution lasting until January 30.
  • Bipartisan Deal: The agreement, led by Sen. Susan Collins and Sen. Angus King, funds critical areas like defense, veterans affairs, and agriculture while promising Democrats a symbolic future vote on Obamacare subsidies.
  • Trump’s Fiscal Focus: The White House has pushed for a clean, responsible funding bill without partisan add-ons, keeping the focus on reopening the government while protecting taxpayers and maintaining fiscal discipline.

After 40 long days, the Senate finally appears ready to get Washington back to work. Democrats announced late Sunday that they have enough votes to reopen the federal government, ending the record shutdown that has strained workers, families, and the economy.

A bipartisan group led by Sen. Susan Collins and Sen. Angus King brokered the deal, which includes a short term funding resolution through January 30 and a package covering military construction, veterans affairs, the Department of Agriculture, and the legislative branch. The deal gives Democrats a symbolic promise from Senate Majority Leader John Thune for a future vote on extending Obamacare subsidies, but no actual guarantees.

“Part of the deal is a vote on the ACA subsidies,” King said, adding that Democrats agreed to the plan because “the length of the shutdown” had gone on too long.

While moderates cheered the compromise, several progressive Democrats blasted it for failing to secure concrete health care concessions. “A wink and a nod to deal with this health care crisis later – with no actual guarantees – is just not enough,” said Sen. Tammy Baldwin.

The bill still needs to clear the House before heading to President Trump’s desk. The administration has pushed for a clean funding bill, rejecting attempts to attach costly subsidies and partisan riders.

After weeks of political brinkmanship, it appears cooler heads are prevailing. Trump has made it clear: reopen government, protect taxpayers, and keep fighting for an America that lives within its means.

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